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Dustin Penner Sucks, Take 1,783

I've been an independent observer of this whole Dustin Penner fiasco, and like M*A*S*H* or a penis, it just gets better the longer it goes. To recap: The Oilers sign Dustin Penner to a 5-year, $21.25 million dollar deal after his astounding 43-point season playing alongside 2 scrubs named Ryan Getzly and Chris Perry or something like that. Who cares, they've never done anything anyway. There was much gnashing of the teeth from bloviating jackass Brian Burke, who criticized Lowe for ruining both teams; this was followed by a lot of back-and-forth between the outmatched Anaheim blogging contingent and the Edmonton juggernaut. But, in the end, Brian Burke was right: the Dustin Penner offer sheet not only left Edmonton with an overpaid, unmotivated baby, but also screwed the Ducks over when they had an opportunity to win a 2nd cup. To that I say, "Huzzah!"

The problem with the Edmonton offer sheet from their perspective was that they were not in the position to offer it. The Oilers were coming off a poor season, finishing 11th in the Western Conference. They had just traded their "heart and soul" in Ryan Smyth for a number of prospects and draft picks and had seemingly committed to rebuilding. Then they spent over $4 million dollars a year on Dustin Penner, losing 3 draft picks in the following draft. Strange. Now the Oilers have a weird amalgamation of good young players, overpaid free agents, and aging goaltenders that no one likes. They might make the playoffs but they're not likely to be a favorite at any point in the future and the money given to Penner can't be used on anyone else. The Oilers are a strange team.

The Ducks, on the other hand, were precisely the kind of team that was in a position to poach another team with an offer sheet. The problem, of course, was that they didn't have any money.* The Ducks ended up getting screwed by a problem mostly of their own making because for some weird reason they had signed Todd Bertuzzi and they lost Dustin Penner. This ended up killing them last season because what position did they need to fill the most? 2nd-line left wing, the exact position Penner filled last season. You may wonder why Penner is perfect in this spot yet subpar for the Oilers. One, stop asking questions. Two, when Penner was playing with Getzlaf and Perry he didn't have to bang in the corners (because Getzlaf does that) and he didn't have to fight in front of the net and paw at defenders like a little bitch (because Perry does that). What he could do was hover and find the open space for a Getzlaf pass, and he does that pretty well. Bobby Ryan will most likely fill that position in the future, but by that time Scott Niedermayer and Teemu Selanne will be retired and the Ducks' Stanley Cup window will have temporarily closed. Hooray!

*That's why offer sheets aren't more popular, despite all the hand-wringing by writers and GMs: the teams that would benefit from them are good teams that want one more piece, but those teams are generally near the cap; the teams that can afford to spend the money need the draft picks to rebuild their franchise.

Of course, creating a counterfactual where Dustin Penner stayed on the Ducks creates a whole other set of scenarios: they probably don't sign Mathieu Schneider and they probably trade Andy MacDonald anyway. Maybe they end up trading Penner anyway and get less than the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd round pick they got for him. But overall, I think both teams screwed themselves: the Oilers ended up with an overpaid player that doesn't fit their needs and the Ducks were hurt in one of their last years at being competitive for a Stanley Cup. It's pretty awesome if you think about it. You know, for me. The Oilers are one of those teams that could contend for a few years if they got their act together and I hate the Ducks, and in one fell swoop they managed to destroy each other. Now I just need Erik Johnson to get hurt and the Blackhawks to waste all their cap space on a red-headed goof and the Kings should be all set in the Pacific. Oh wait, that happened? Excellent. *strokes white cat

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Rudy - Wow. Some good stuff. Did the Ducks really get 3 first rounder's from Edmonton for that deal?

What I don't get is why Penner sucks for all that.

Maybe he shouldn't have signed the offer sheet, but if I'm 24 and someone offers me that I'm gonna probably bite.

Penner did still have about the same point total last year with Edmonton, so it's not like he underacheived. The only loco in the deal is Lowe. Why would you offer anyone that much based on 50-someodd points in the NHL?

by cristobal on Nov 18, 2008 5:07 PM PST reply actions  

Three draft picks: a 1st, 2nd, and a 3rd. I think, I didn't double-check.

by RudyKelly on Nov 18, 2008 5:15 PM PST reply actions  

Oh. Not like in the Glen Wesley years, then.
As long as it's not 3 first round picks. That would be suicide for Lowe.

by cristobal on Nov 18, 2008 5:38 PM PST reply actions  

Losing Andy McDonald was a way bigger loss than Dustin Penner, IMO. Either way, funny stuff Rudy.

by jamestobrien on Nov 18, 2008 5:52 PM PST reply actions  

Penner did still have about the same point total last year with Edmonton, so it's not like he underacheived.

for that kind of contract he needs to be better than 50 points. He needs to be a 100 point player. They figured by putting him on their first line his production would improve because thats a promotion over Anaheims 2nd line, with increased ice minutes. (IMO)

They only problem is Edmontons first line, or Anaheims 2nd (which became our first the next season) it still comes out the same. Right around 50 points. And you have to ride his ass everyday to get that production. He was healthy scratched here as well, a number of times.

But the real winners in all this (as I now see after reading RK's post) becomes the rest of the Western Conference. Both Anaheim & The Oilers immediately got worse because of it.

Nice work RK.

by Mike in OC on Nov 18, 2008 6:24 PM PST reply actions  

...the Kings should be all set in the Pacific.


This phrase... I do not think it means what you think it means...

by Julian on Nov 18, 2008 10:09 PM PST reply actions  

I think the artwork on this blog is underrated.

word verification: sagga.
hardly.

by cristobal on Nov 19, 2008 12:32 AM PST reply actions  

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