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A Win/Semi-Win Trade?

I'm not the first person to publicly state my distaste for all of Dany Heatley's shenanigans this summer. His approach, his bratty stubbornness, his general cluelessness for what the hell was going on, well, it left a bad taste in my mouth, and it probably did so for every hockey fan on the planet.

That being said, this is a slam dunk for a hockey deal. Jonathan Cheechoo was going to be lost on the third line again, and that left Milan Michalek as Joe Thornton's wing. If you could pick between Michalek and Cheechoo as Thornton's finisher, who would you pick? That's a no-brainer.

Still, I don't think Sens fans have to jump off any bridges. In theory, they should have gotten more, but there is potential here. Cheechoo has shown that, given a good setup guy, he can put the puck in the net a lot. He's gotta be healthy, though, and that means no groin or shoulder problems. I'm in the camp that Michalek has maxxed out, and he'll never break the 70-point barrier. Still, that's not a bad thing for a second-line guy, and he's a decent-enough penalty killer.

Between the two of them, they should produce anywhere from 40 to 65 goals. Considering the Senators need for depth, that's not too bad.

I've never been too attached to Michalek but I think all Sharks fans will have some mixed feelings about letting Cheechoo go. Beyond the stats, he was a tireless worker, and even when he wasn't scoring goals, he was always hustling. He had heart and hands, though not really the feet to go with it. He was always nice to fans, even coming off as a little bashful from all of the attention he got (and the dude loved the Oakland A's). It'll be weird not hearing CHEEEEEEEEECH whenever he touches the puck, but I suppose we heard that less and less over the past two years. Best to you, Cheech, and I hope you give Jason Spezza a lot of assists.

Ok, that's enough being nostalgic. This is a results-oriented business, so if Heatley performs well, then we'll all forget about Cheech and Michalek pretty fast. His salary cap hit is huge ($7.5 million), and one wonders how the Sharks plan to actually manage all this considering the big salaries to Joe Thornton and Dan Boyle. This move essentially assumes that Rob Blake retires after this year and that either Evgeni Nabokov or Patrick Marleau are gone after this season. With upcoming deals needed for Joe Pavelski and Devin Setoguchi, something's gotta give.

For now, your forward lines will most likely be:

Heatley/Thornton/Setoguchi

Marleau/Pavelski/Clowe

McGinn/Mitchell/???

Shelley/Nichol/Staubitz

The ??? can be filled in with veteran agitator Dan Hinote, though I'd prefer someone with a little more offensive upside.

I like having Marleau and Thornton play on separate lines. We know they can work well together, and a super line can be put together for the power play or critical situations (Marleau's also a pretty good point man if necessary). There will still be questions about Heatley's work ethic and willingness to commit. While the Sharks plan an uptempo system, it only works if the forwards support the transitioning defense. Cory Clouston's comments about Heatley needing to move his feet more isn't exactly a ringing endorsement since one of McLellan's first points about the Sharks was the need to keep their feet moving through the neutral zone.

But like I said, this is a results-oriented business. On paper, the Sharks got the most talented player in the deal. The rest will just have to be a long game of wait and see.

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Cheech could do well enough to make it kinda worth it on the Sen’s end, but that’s only as long as he and his setup man are healthy. Michalek is depth that, as you said, the Sens need. The two of them for Heatley is a pretty good deal for the Sharks, I’d say. In terms of that, that’s a win.

In terms of the salary, I don’t like it. Heatley is not worth 7.5M. More importantly though, I don’t think he is what the Sharks needed. The Sharks needed some sort of power forward, someone tough and mean, to play on a top-6 spot, I thought, not another sniper, especially one with huge concerns about his character. On the departing side of it, Michalek wasn’t really a problem, I don’t think, as he filled his role and filled it decently. Cheechoo was only really a problem considering that everyone wanted another Maurice Richard trophy, and if he were stuck on a top line instead of Heatley, you’d probably get slightly less results for significantly less money. Point being, if someone had to go for the needed wake up call, it wasn’t either of those two guys, I don’t think. Keeping whatever problems were already there, and adding another potential problem, plus the salary problem, I don’t really like it.

http://sacrificethebody.blogspot.com/
Sacrifice the Body - Examining the NHL through statistical analysis, reasoned thought, and blind conjecture.

by IAmJoe on Sep 12, 2009 8:05 PM PDT reply actions  

Its great

watching the sharks set themselves up for salary problems in the future.

by docescobar07 on Sep 13, 2009 8:02 AM PDT reply actions  

It does seem that way, doesn’t it? I’m not totally sold on this.

by Mike Chen on Sep 13, 2009 1:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Along the lines of Chicago

but not nearly as bad. I for one would rather watch and enjoy this season, than speculate about next season. When July 2010 rolls around, I’ll start worrying. I think that’s DW’s motto right now, “cross that bridge when we get to it.”

by Chicago Shark on Sep 13, 2009 4:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

Of course, keeping focused strictly on short-term results at the expense of the long term is always a fantastic strategy! I mean, look at the housing bubble, federal borrowing, the social security administration, etc. etc. etc.

http://sacrificethebody.blogspot.com/
Sacrifice the Body - Examining the NHL through statistical analysis, reasoned thought, and blind conjecture.

by IAmJoe on Sep 13, 2009 7:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

I must say that the Sharks’ current lower lines as well as their organizational depth in all positions for the immediate future are starting to look a bit funny. For their sake, they must make good use of their window of opportunity here, but they’re going to need a lot of luck for that. For starters, everyone needs luck for a Cup because there are so many teams, and specifically for the Sharks, there isn’t much room for injury. Losing a major player from any position is a huge blow with this kind of lack of quality replacements. Of course, trading for depth at the deadline is an option, but that would make the future even more problematic, even with the bunch of young studs they’ve got in the lineup.

by Malurous on Sep 13, 2009 4:07 PM PDT reply actions  

The Sharks should drag Ricci down from the front office. Mike Ricci is exactly what this team needed, come to think of it.

http://sacrificethebody.blogspot.com/
Sacrifice the Body - Examining the NHL through statistical analysis, reasoned thought, and blind conjecture.

by IAmJoe on Sep 13, 2009 7:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

That’s my concern as well, but I seem to be one of the few (at least at FTF) who share it. We’ll see how it goes.

Of course, trading for depth at the deadline is an option, but that would make the future even more problematic, even with the bunch of young studs they’ve got in the lineup.

I’m not even sure you can make an upgrade at the deadline- we’re already something like 600K away from the ceiling, and that’s without a healthy scratch winger. You bring him in and suddenly there’s no space. This doesn’t include the bonuses that are set to be paid out to McGinn, Setoguchi, and Blake- if they manage to hit those, the Sharks are over and will need to dump salary at the deadline.

There’s not a whole lot of wiggle room here.

Fear The Fin: Where Selling Your Soul Is The Likely Solution

by Mr. Plank on Sep 13, 2009 10:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yes, it would demand going without that healthy scratch and pinching dollars wherever they can.

That’s my concern as well, but I seem to be one of the few (at least at FTF) who share it. We’ll see how it goes.

Well, I suppose that if you support a team that everyone and their grandmother think will win the Cup but has a history of playoff failures for no apparent reason, then thinking about actual problems doesn’t cross your mind that easily.

by Malurous on Sep 14, 2009 12:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

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