Positivity! The Anaheim Ducks are on pace to make the playoffs! Wait, wait, hear me out.
Sure, the Ducks are 0-5-0 against Central Division opponents, but that will only ultimately make up 20 games of the full-season schedule. Even if we project that to a total of zero points, guess what?
The Ducks are 3-0-1 against non-Central opponents, which will constitute the remaining 62 games. If the Ducks can continue to take 7 out of every 8 points available in those games, they'll end up with 108.5 standings points, which should get them into the postseason easily.
That's all silliness, of course -- Ducks need to find a way to hold leads better if they're going to even pretend to contend. Nine games played so far, and the Ducks have yet to hold a two-goal lead. That's pretty amazing to type.
In fact, eleven times the Ducks have pulled into a lead at any point in a tied game:
- Five of those times the score was tied up by the opponent. Average time to tie: 6:52.
- Three of those times the Ducks scored the next goal for a two-goal lead, but none of those times the Ducks made that stand up -- on average the next opponent goal was scored 6:12 later and the tying goal was scored 7:01 after that.
- Three of those times the Ducks scored late enough, in the final ten minutes of regulation, to hold on for the team's three wins.
Still, I guess blowing leads is better than never having them at all -- all of Anaheim's standings points so far have come in games where the Ducks have blown leads.
Prediction: The Stars are a non-Central opponent, so the Ducks take the necessary 1.75 standings points to stay on playoff pace. After blowing two leads, the late-enough-tie-breaking goal by Koivu.