Kings Gameday: The Thing About Quick
(His EGA is 121. I don't know why they didn't put it in there.)
We all like Jonathan Quick. He's a good guy. He has a child-like appearance, he moves like an octopus, he's delightful. Everyone loves him... except he's not playing great now and everyone hates him. It's weird, though, because it's not like he's playing terrible; at least, he's not playing more terrible than he has been all year. I know it's seems logical to look at his play of late and the birth of his first child and say, "Hey, he's distracted and he's working too hard, he needs a break!" The problem is, I don't really see how that's true. Here are Quick's save percentages and goals against averages by month since the beginning of the year:
Oct- 13 GP, 2.59 GAA, .905 SV%
Nov- 13 GP, 2.72 GAA, .895 SV%
Dec- 12 GP, 2.55 GAA, .910 SV%
Jan- 13 GP, 2.31 GAA, .919 SV%
Feb- 5 GP, 2.41 GAA, .901 SV%
Mar- 13 GP, 2.60 GAA, .907 SV%
Apr- 2 GP, 2.73 GAA, .902 SV%
I don't see any fatigue; I see a natural fluctuation of performance for an average goalie. I don't see why people would all of a sudden have a problem with Quick when they didn't in say, Nove-
Oct- 8 W, 3 L, 2 OTL
Nov- 6-6
Dec- 7-4-1
Jan- 10-3
Feb- 4-1
Mar- 4-7-1
Apr- 0-0-1
Oh. Maybe that's why. One final little list:
Oct- 3.29 LA Goals For/Game
Nov- 2.54
Dec- 3.07
Jan- 3.14
Feb- 3.17
Mar- 2.33
Apr- 4.67 (Wooo)
I think what the reason Quick is starting to feel the heat is twofold: one, he hasn't been that good to begin with this season* and people are starting to notice now because the Kings haven't been scoring; and two, Jonathan Bernier isn't some far away dream anymore but is instead a real thing now that Kings fans have gotten a look at him. Ultimately, the Kings are going to live and die with Jonathan Quick. The alternative, to call up Bernier and give him the reigns a few days before the playoffs, is so ridiculous and would so completely shatter everyone's confidence in Quick that it shouldn't even be discussed. I know we're all tired of hearing it, but it's true: this season is not about this season. The Kings aren't going far in the playoffs and I think we all know it. This season is about getting experience and setting everything up for down the road.
*I should preface this by saying, "...and that's fine since he's only 23 playing in his first full NHL season and I like him and am in no way trying to defame his character in anyway," but that's a lot of words. Just imagine that is there.
The problem I'm seeing when I read about the Kings is one side is saying Quick sucks and the other side is saying that he's good because he has a lot of wins. Both arguments are dumb. Quick is average right now. He's also the unquestioned starting goaltender for the Los Angeles Kings. Might as well get used to it.
***
One team that has not questioned their goaltender this season is Phoenix. Ilya Bryzgalov is a rich coyote, just like Wile E., and he's been stellar all season long. The Kings still have a shot at playing Phoenix in the first round of the playoffs if they win at least two of their last three games, and that'd be a pretty fun series. The Kings hold the tiebreaker over both Detroit and Nashville so we'll probably end up 5th or 6th. Whatever, I just want the playoffs to start.
Prediction: Kings win, 2-1. Goals by the dynamic duo of Alex Frolov and Dustin Brown, who comprise my favorite line on the Kings right now. It's too bad Jarret Stoll is between them; it's like eating a turd oreo.
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Yeah, it’s tough to figure how they could with anyone other than Quick, though twice I’ve been wrong about Anaheim’s G1-of-the-playoffs starter since the lockout — don’t really ask me.
I took a little look at the numbers, and yeah, Kings offense has shuffled a bit. Pre-Olympics, they averaged 2.90 GF/gm, with about 25% of that offense coming from their power play (which had an 18.7% efficiency). Post-Olympics, they’ve averaged 2.61 GF/gm, with about 40% of that offense coming from the power play (which has a 30.2% efficiency).
Now it’s not all bad — the GA/gm numbers have lowered post-Olympics also. But it does seem that the Kings need to find their even-strength touch again. Can’t be that power-play-dependent in the playoffs.
I know we’re all tired of hearing it, but it’s true: this season is not about this season.
Hey, it doesn’t really have to be — once you’re in the top eight, truly anything can happen. Time to spin that wheel and see how lucky/good you can get.
http://www.battleofcali.com/
Nice analysis. I was wondering, though—have the shots against per game gone up as well? I know it’s not the best stat for judging team defense, but for some teams, it’s worth considering.
by live every week like it's shark week on Apr 8, 2010 12:07 PM PDT reply actions
I was wondering the same thing but I didn’t want to make the effort. I’m lazy.
The West Coast is the Best Coast.
Kings SF and SA by month, since I was already looking at it.
Oct 28.1 27.1
Nov 30.1 26.0
Dec 28.6 28.5
Jan 29.4 29.8
Feb 30.3 24.0
Mar 26.7 28.2
Apr 32.7 28.0
Tough to spot anything outrageous there.
http://www.battleofcali.com/
Eh, it looks like it wouldn’t have added anything to your analysis. I guess that makes you efficient.
Also, thanks Earl.
by live every week like it's shark week on Apr 8, 2010 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions
earls speciality..we all love it when he pulls a comment from a year ago and makes you look like an ass…its fantastic
2009-2010 Anaheim Ducks.."Hey at least its not crack!!"
by SPADE-IN-VICTORHELL on Apr 8, 2010 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions
not just you…i meant to say everyone…he gets me all the time
2009-2010 Anaheim Ducks.."Hey at least its not crack!!"
by SPADE-IN-VICTORHELL on Apr 8, 2010 1:28 PM PDT up reply actions
The show got a little overwhelming for me after a while, but it’s a great source of one-liners. Liz Lemon’s job is basically my worst nightmare: placating drama queens, cleaning up disasters of epic proportions, listening to show tunes….shudder.
by live every week like it's shark week on Apr 8, 2010 12:51 PM PDT up reply actions
I’m thinking Ersberg will get one start this weekend. Most likely against Colorado…
2009-10 Kings Hockey: Delivering Milk Steaks from the Meat Train at an arena near you!
by DodgerBlueBalls on Apr 8, 2010 12:34 PM PDT reply actions
Nut – we’re having a scrimmige this Sunday in National City at 1:30 if you’re interested in playing…
2009-10 Kings Hockey: Delivering Milk Steaks from the Meat Train at an arena near you!
by DodgerBlueBalls on Apr 8, 2010 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions
Damn. I work pretty much every Sunday, but if I get a day off soon I’ll check to see if you guys are playing. Thanks for the invite, i’d like to get out there with you guys.
by Nut on Apr 8, 2010 1:17 PM PDT up reply actions
Cool. We rent out The Barn almost every other Sunday, so keep it in mind if you get a Sunday afternoon off from work.
2009-10 Kings Hockey: Delivering Milk Steaks from the Meat Train at an arena near you!
by DodgerBlueBalls on Apr 8, 2010 1:19 PM PDT up reply actions
What do you think Quick's developmental potential is?
Burke seems to think he has the potential to be the future USA goalie, at least that’s what I gathered from him selecting him as the 3rd goalie for team USA this year.
I'm warning you! I have ADHD and I know how to use it!!!
More upside than Yutaka Fukufuji with a catlike agility similar to Manon Rhéaume…
2009-10 Kings Hockey: Delivering Milk Steaks from the Meat Train at an arena near you!
by DodgerBlueBalls on Apr 8, 2010 1:12 PM PDT up reply actions
Mike Richter. Jonathan Bernier looks like Nabokov in net (not plays, just mostly size)
by Nut on Apr 8, 2010 2:31 PM PDT up reply actions
The Kings’ telecast is a “Focus on…” MeatTrain tonight! I hope Rudy’s watching this!
Also, what is Heidi wearing beneath that blazer tonight? Looks like nothing but a sports bra. Must be Sweeps Week….
2009-10 Kings Hockey: Delivering Milk Steaks from the Meat Train at an arena near you!
Holy shit! Doughty’s frakking move on that goal just gave me a fuzzy feeling in my swimsuit area! Get out the checkbook and pay Grandma for the rubdown!!!
2009-10 Kings Hockey: Delivering Milk Steaks from the Meat Train at an arena near you!
Are you coming around to the Johson, Rudy?
and on the 93rd postseason of the National Hockey League, the Slovakian-hockeygod Zeus commanded from high atop Mount Figueroa..."RELEASE THE MEAT TRAIN!" And it was good.
by DodgerBlueBalls on Apr 8, 2010 9:50 PM PDT up reply actions
Oh, Quick.
And TM, please for the love of GOD stop putting Brown third! I thought the Ducks game signaled a change! Don’t toy with my heart that way!
In Dinglebarn We Trust
Don’t sweat it — Terry Murray won’t get to fuck that up too much longer.
http://www.battleofcali.com/
Your smugness of not having one is hilarious.
I'm here! I know, I brighten the room. Everything's better.
by brokenyard on Apr 9, 2010 1:29 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Hey, I wonder what Jarrett Stoll is going to do in the shoot out. I’m not sure, all I know, is he definitely isn’t going high glove. Luckily there is no video of previous shoot outs.
ding ding ding
And yet, even after last night, his success rate is almost twice that of our captain’s. Wow, I’ve made myself even sadder now.
In Dinglebarn We Trust

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